Week 10 betting advice from a god

Written by Bartender Man on November 11, 2005

So here’s the ‘Tendah coming at you with some hot Vegas football action for this weekend. Besides wanting to gun down the entire Chargers team for winning by five points instead of seven -- which would have won me my first ever 6 team parlay and huge money as a result -- I’m going to give you some tips, or my tips, I should say. (Aren’t I a nice bartender by sharing my tips with ya?) In spite of not hitting it big, I did take a seven point teaser on that six-team parlay and won some money, though not with the same sweet odds as the original non-teased bet.

I’m going to list the home team in caps and tell you my “hunches” with a possible note or two as to my feelings about the game. So without further ado, let’s get started...

Kansas City +2 over BUFFALO
I would even take K.C. on the money line ‘cause I really feel they’re going to win this one outright. Especially after last week’s win. Players like to perform for a coach who’s willing to take a chance with the game on the line as opposed to playing it safe and going into overtime... Though I don’t know how much of a “chance” you’re taking if you’re only a half yard from the end zone...

TAMPA +1.5 over Washington
This line stared as a pick ‘em and has moved toward Washington. Bookies don’t drive Cadillacs for no reason. The betting public is usually wrong and I like how Tampa’s running game matches up with Washington’s rushing defense.

MIAMI +3 over New England
Can New England's D really stop anybody right now?

San Francisco +13 over CHICAGO
13 points is A LOT to give up from a team with as bad an offense as Chicago’s.

GIANTS –9.5 over Minnesota
The Giant’s are a well-balanced team playing for a cause this year after the great Wellington Mara’s passing, while the Vikings are already booking their next orgy cruise. I hear those former Carolina cheerleaders are headlining...

DETROIT -3.5 over Arizona
If Bolding and Fitzgerald were healthy, I’d be picking the Cardinals instead with Harrington starting for Detroit. But with those two hurt, and Arizona’s rushing game nonexistent, I have to go with the home team here.

JACKSONVILLE –6.5 over Baltimore
I flip-flopped with this one. The Jaguar’s D is just way too good for the Raven’s O. Plus, Boller needs to shed some of that rust.

COLTS –17.5 over Houston
I NEVER go with a team giving this many points away, regardless of where they are playing. Again, the betting public is dumb, and I see them taking all these points, plus I see Freeney and Mathis batting Carr around like cats playing with a dead mouse.

CAROLINA –9 over Jets
This game I feel the least sure about. I see Carolina letting down after their nice win over Tampa Bay last week. However, at home, I can see their D shaking Bollinger up a good bit.

Denver –3 over OAKLAND
Oakland’s only getting three points?! Unless Jordan has a great game, I don’t see Oakland coming anywhere close.(How’s that for being unbiased as I have Jordan on one of my fantasy teams?!)

Rams +6.5 over SEATTLE
The Rams are under ‘new management” and it seems they're becoming a running team, utilizing Steven Jackson’s skills more than they did with Martz at the helm. Plus, Bulger and Holt are back after a bye week.

FALCONS –9 over the Packers
This is another game I flip-flopped on. Farve is done. Stick a fork in him. Plus, he plays poorly in domes. That means too many turnovers.

Cleveland +8 over PITTSBURGH
Pitt plays worse at home. Plus, Batch is under center again and the Browns can move the ball a lot better than the Ravens whom Pitt had a hard time against last week.

Dallas +2.5 over PHILADELPHIA
Philly’s a mess right now, and the Tuna’s got his team heading in the right direction. It won’t be the blowout we experienced earlier this season though.


Well... those are my picks as of Thursday evening. There’s still three more days ‘til kickoff and things could change. Starters may change in status, the weather may be bad, etc... Because of that, I’m not making my actual betting picks for myself ‘til Saturday night. But at least you see how I’m leaning and why...


Beyond betting

I got the new Blitz game for XBox yesterday. I played it against fellow Rotogod Worm, and he kicked my ass in the first game. The second game, however, was close... Back and forth ‘til the last quarter when I was lucky enough to pull out some sweet -- and I mean SWEET moves -- and force some turnovers to end up tearing him a new asshole. I’ll tell you right now, this game is PURE FUN... Not intended to be realistic in any way. But I’ll be giving a full review of this in a later article, as I need to play it some more. Oh, did I mention that I totally snapped one of Worm’s player’s ligaments apart? It turned out not to be so bad as he got “juiced” and came back a few plays later, as opposed to a few months later...

On a final note... In a recent poll of Rotogods, 90% say T.O. should die by being caught stealing Junky’s shit, while 10% say T.O. should die by being blown up by grenades disguised as diamond earrings. Drew Rosenhaus, however, should be raped by a five-ton elephant. Who the hell can stand listening to that guy?!?!?!

-- Written by Bartender Man on November 11, 2005