The Morning Offering - April 20, 2005

Written by The Fool on April 20, 2005

I tried to get one of our Rotogods who might have more of a sentimental attachment to this date to write an offering for this morning . . . but as you probably already know, that marijuana makes you lazy. So instead, you get an offering from a newly-minted 30-year-old The Fool. Cheers!

The Nats’ new home
I spent part of my birthday weekend in the refurbished RFK Stadium, courtesy of Ms. The Fool – who arranged to have a number of old friends greet me in the upper deck. A good time was had by all, especially once the overworked beer vendors found their way up there.

Highlights and observations:

- RFK won’t be a bad home for the Nationals for a few years. Considering what a dump the place was, a nice job was done cleaning it up and getting it ready for one final tour of duty with baseball. It’ll do for a few years.
- While the corners (335) are shallow, the center field is super deep at 410. In five games, no one has hit one out in the middle; in fact, no one has really come close.
- I finally got to see Craig Counsell bat in person. What a treat! And then, when bidding on him later that night in my big keeper league, I lost. Oh well.

The Fool will head back to RFK on Thursday for an afternoon tilt before heading to work – it’s Braves vs. Nats. I’ll be the sober guy with a foam tomahawk.

Realistic expectations
I’m starting to read some backtracking on Jason Giambi from fantasy “experts” around the World Wide Web, most recently (and perhaps notably) from ESPN.com’s Eric Karabell, who made this comment on Tuesday while breaking down the struggling Yankees: “While I didn't expect a .300 average or 30 homers, I did expect more than this.” He then altered his Giambi projection to .241 with 21 homers and 61 RBI.

Karabell was one of many folks, like our very own Xach, who clung to the past, forgot about all of those roid-inspired 40-home run seasons and decided Giambi would hit .300 with 30 or more homers this season for the Yankees, no problem.

To which The Fool says, “Huh?”

Giambi admitted to a grand jury that he used steroids and human growth hormone in 2000, his best season – the year he won the MVP award with the Oakland A’s, hitting .333 with a career-high 43 homers and 137 RBI at age 29. Giambi averaged 41 homers during his final two years with the A’s and his first two years with the Yankees. . . then showed up to camp in 2004 looking like stick boy, got sick, played 80 games and hit 12 homers. Then during the offseason it came out that he admitted to doing all of his best work while on the juice.

(The Fool stops, furrows his brow and scratches his head)

And still, fantasy experts thought Jason Giambi would come back this year, at age 34, and have a year resembling those he had in his late 20s?

(The Fool shakes his head)

There was no rationale to support such a foolish idea. . . . which is why you’ll find no Giambi on any of The Fool’s fantasy teams this season. Giambi has three homers and a .262 average and by most reports appears as lost or more last than his listless Yankees squad. That’s not even a fantasy sleeper – that’s an end of the bench, waiver wire dud.

For comments, questions, ideas or crazy love, please e-mail The Fantasy Fool.


-- Written by The Fool on April 20, 2005


Comments

Wow, all sorts of call-outs in this one. This makes some of my nofferings look tame.

Good job Foolio

Posted by: Doc Fury at April 20, 2005 10:58 AM

Meow. Meow. RAAAAAAAAAAAAR! (kicked by Ms. The Fool)

Posted by: Ramona at April 20, 2005 10:58 AM

I stay away from dudes like that until the late rounds.

I thought everyone else did too.

(Watches Junky draft Griffey Jr. and Grant Hill as they have excellent seasons)

Posted by: TiVo at April 20, 2005 12:34 PM

Wow. First of all, I gotta say, no one anywhere on the planet expected Giambi to return to MVP form. Find one column from the past 6 months that projects Giambi to hit 40 homers. That's absurd.

Second of all, if you DO find a columnist dumb enough to have projected that, please don't put my name on the list with him. I drafted Giambi in the 18th round, hoping to get some decent value from a late pick. That is not even remotely the same as expecting him to perform as he id in his 20's. Even the link you posted has me saying he's good to "take a late round flier on".

Third of all, both you and Eric Karabell are being misinformed idiots. Gioambi has looked good in his at bats so far. The swing -- according to both the little I've seen and also having listened to the announcers during almost every Yankees broadcast -- looks fine. So I'm not sure where you get this nonsense that Giambi "by most reports appears as lost or more last than his listless Yankees squad."

Fourth, Karabell is being an alarmist hater who simply hopes to cash in by treading water. He projects Giambi to hit .241 with 21 homers . . . funny that Giambi is currently on pace to well eclipse those numbers.

Giambi's current pace: .262, 35 homers. Oh, and he's also on pace for 93 runs. Will it last? Who knows. But he certainly appears worthy of an 18th round pick. You make this seem like a ridiculous investment. How's YOUR 18th round pick doing?

Posted by: Xach at April 20, 2005 04:20 PM

410 in center field? Damn, that's what my high school field was. But at least I managed to hit one out :)

Posted by: BartenderMan at April 20, 2005 05:09 PM

Wow, The Xach is touchy today, he is LIVE!

Posted by: The Fool at April 20, 2005 05:21 PM

But now that you mention it sentiXach, in my AL Only league (that means only AL players, so it's not a supersallysoftball league), my 18th selection was Brandon McCarthy, who you've likely never heard of (and before TiVo tells you it was Jason Kubel, well, yes, it was Jason Kubel according to Yahoo because McCarthy doesn't exist yet in the Yahoo! universe).

And my 19th (mike macdougal) and 20th (D. DeJesus) picks were both better than Giambi, who went in the 11th round of the draft.

Any more questions?

Posted by: The Fool at April 20, 2005 05:49 PM

DeJesus? christ.

Posted by: Worm at April 20, 2005 06:57 PM

What?

Posted by: Jesus Christ at April 20, 2005 11:05 PM

It's kind of difficult to compare your draft with my draft Fool, since we didn't participate in the same draft. But regardless of whether you feel cool for drafting McCarthy in the 18th round before he hits the majors, I think 18th round is a fine place to draft the Giambi man.

My real point, though, was that no one ever expected him to repeat his MVP caliber campaigns of steroid years past, least of all me. You can see that in my update on the guy: "late round flier."

Anyway, nice Offering.

Posted by: Xach at April 21, 2005 02:25 AM

That's nice. But I wouldn't have said peep if you didn't put words in my mouf.

Know your role, gibroni!

Posted by: Xach at April 21, 2005 02:31 AM

oh, and also: http://www.lemonparty.org

Posted by: Xach at April 21, 2005 02:31 AM

(Doesn't click those links. Kind of agrees with Xach. Waits for Father Time to say we're same person)

Posted by: TiVo at April 21, 2005 01:41 PM